Here's How Computer Models Simulate the Future Spread of New Coronavirus

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February 13, 2020

Dear Reader,

During the early days of an outbreak, like the new coronavirus, public health efforts rely on predicting how diseases spread across the globe. Our main story explains how researchers use computer models to calculate the probability of individuals transmitting an illness to others. And as scientists rush to find treatments for new viruses, they sometimes turn to existing drugs that can be repurposed. Read below about human trials of medicines that target HIV, Ebola and malaria being conducted to fight the coronavirus outbreak.

In climate news, January 2020 was Earth's warmest January since record keeping began in 1880, according to NOAA. Also, a study published this week suggests that as the world warms a new trend is on the rise—extreme heat during the day followed by extreme heat overnight. Without the relief of a cool evening, the study authors say living things may have less opportunity to recover from the effects of a sweltering day. This poses a potential threat to human health and natural landscapes.

Sunya Bhutta, Senior Editor, Audience Engagement
@sunyaaa

Computing

Here's How Computer Models Simulate the Future Spread of New Coronavirus

They aim for clarity amid confusion surrounding the outbreak

By Jeremy Hsu

Environment

Twin Dangers of Scorching Days and Sweltering Nights Are on the Rise

The combination of day and night extreme heat will only get more frequent—and hotter—in the future

By Chelsea Harvey,E&E News

Space

How the Celebrated "Pale Blue Dot" Image Came to Be

How the Celebrated "Pale Blue Dot" Image Came to Be

By Carolyn Porco

Climate

January 2020: Earth's Warmest January on Record

The month was our planet's warmest ever recorded without an El Niรฑo being present

By Jeff Masters

Medicine

To Fight Coronavirus Outbreak, Doctors Deploy Drugs Targeting HIV, Malaria and Ebola

Despite flimsy evidence, trying these drugs in humans is the only way to know if they will work against COVID-19

By Carmen Heredia Rodriguez,Kaiser Health News

Medicine

The Case for Fewer Heart Procedures

For some of the most common cardiac conditions, medication is a solid alternative 

By Claudia Wallis
FROM THE STORE

Climate Change: Planet Under Pressure

From increasingly severe storms to collapsing coral reefs to the displacement of Syrian citizens, in this eBook we examine the effects of Earth's changing climate on weather systems, ecosystems and human habitability and what this means for our future.

Buy Now

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FROM THE ARCHIVE

H. G. Wells Envisions Atomic Bomb 30 Years ahead of Time

Originally published in May 1914

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"It's just so hard when you're on the front line and your patient is sick and you want to do something."

Dr. Stanley Perlman, Professor of Microbiology and Immunology at the University of Iowa

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